Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 78.538230 88.054515 97.803867 108.508086 119.900261 131.633708 144.603284
2025-01-05 65.031028 78.829943 93.604449 110.476037 129.088881 148.884313 171.418790
2025-01-12 55.151920 71.081953 88.723800 109.456473 132.912619 158.406221 187.991957
2025-01-19 46.635759 63.762337 83.341824 106.958345 134.274737 164.518893 200.186046
2025-01-26 43.160015 61.832233 83.711450 110.622801 142.257820 177.750566 220.082097
2025-02-02 39.754790 59.590803 83.385781 113.188673 148.740628 189.101661 237.718636
2025-02-09 35.070759 55.322337 80.255750 112.100322 150.680317 195.018433 248.969639
2025-02-16 30.996016 51.472491 77.338586 110.999623 152.377710 200.472394 259.537356
2025-02-23 28.284554 49.186308 76.194015 111.911126 156.357670 208.505843 273.035370
2025-03-02 25.465561 46.512700 74.359871 111.797313 158.960113 214.810953 284.435885
2025-03-09 23.252153 44.501735 73.246148 112.473792 162.439129 222.096919 296.952154
2025-03-16 20.606667 41.640662 70.821405 111.315027 163.518217 226.403736 305.859110
2025-03-23 19.085182 40.366228 70.510918 112.908189 168.089620 235.026232 320.057203
2025-03-30 17.830261 39.400313 70.561111 114.935743 173.195787 244.311705 335.089373
2025-04-06 15.764430 36.962907 68.397177 113.889344 174.284981 248.595086 344.026923
2025-04-13 13.485948 33.945795 65.224866 111.329798 173.303514 250.224687 349.665607
2025-04-20 13.088673 34.090412 66.663783 115.084535 180.540017 262.103524 367.858741
2025-04-27 12.434913 33.724914 67.305880 117.712969 186.293984 272.134486 383.807633
2025-05-04 10.936482 31.692869 65.329112 116.598152 187.052699 275.845815 391.951485
2025-05-11 9.579211 29.767987 63.406250 115.470586 187.726586 279.402022 399.870759
2025-05-18 8.773674 28.821999 62.955312 116.404345 191.131325 286.414115 412.080390
2025-05-25 7.830091 27.489181 61.815674 116.287757 193.082418 291.548323 421.941103
2025-06-01 7.115930 26.549498 61.257543 116.980714 196.106986 298.047789 433.510203